It was only last year when Elon Musk and his EV car-making company made billions of dollars bet on Bitcoin sending the cryptocurrency's prices soaring. A year later, after a lot of promises by Musk, Tesla has sold 75% of its Bitcoin holdings.
The numbers:
Why did Tesla sell its Bitcoin holdings? During a conference call on Wednesday, Elon Musk said, "The reason we sold a bunch of our Bitcoin holdings was that we were uncertain as to when the Covid lockdowns in China would alleviate, so it was important for us to maximise our cash position."
Elon Musk, in addition, also said that Tesla wasn't dumping any of the Dogecoin holdings.
Reports say Tesla dumped its Bitcoin holdings to avoid a negative cash flow. Negative cash flow occurs when a business spends more than what it makes in a given period of time.
Many questions for Musk: There are a lot of questions popping up over Tesla's recent move.
Has it hurt the cryptocurrency market? CoinTelegraph, a cryptocurrency news portal said that experts were not worried. Most experts and investors say that Tesla's decision was not based on Bitcoin, but that it was a business decision to be made.
Some said that while the overall mood of the cryptocurrency market recently has not been great, Tesla's announcement did not really affect the market much. They also said that Bitcoin's price has recovered over the last 24 hours after the news broke.
I can already imagine the headlines in a few years:
— ₿ Isaiah - Stackchain Block #230⚡️ (@BitcoinIsaiah) July 20, 2022
“Tesla’s #Bitcoin would now be worth nearly $20 billion if they hadn’t sold it back in 2022”
Tesla news is bullish af for a lot of reasons but a huge one is that it proves bitcoin is liquid enough be responsibly held by the world’s largest companies.
— Brady Swenson (@CitizenBitcoin) July 20, 2022
Some even pointed out that Tesla had already made the sale and so the news breaking doesn't really affect the market.
Funny to see the markets crashing on the #bitcoin #tesla news!
— Lark Davis (@TheCryptoLark) July 20, 2022
Seriously guys, this already happened, probably a few months ago... AND YET, the market panics.
Did Tesla sell its shares at a loss? This is mostly speculation, but netizens have tried to do some math to figure out whether Tesla incurred any loss or not.
So Tesla
— CTO Larsson (@ctoLarsson) July 20, 2022
- bought Bitcoin for $1.5 bn in 2021
+ sold $101 M in 2021
+ sold $936 M in 2022
Holds 25% (of initial purchase?)
Total from sold $1,037 M
75% * $1.5bn = $1,125 M
Seems they sold at about break-even.
Is this correct?
Found the section a bit unclear.
How is it break-even?
Because in crypto 9.2% on one trade over an entire 1.5 years crazy pump and full out dump cycle is a rounding error
— CTO Larsson (@ctoLarsson) July 20, 2022
Others are not so optimistic and say Tesla suffered a loss of at least 8-10%.
If those numbers are accurate (and probably they are) it means they are at more than 8% loss on the most profitable asset class in the last decade. That's a Tesla's failure.
— Szymon Manduk (@SzymonManduk) July 20, 2022
And the big win for the BTC market that provided needed liquidity for so many negative events.
They took about a 10% hit. They probably want to avoid the volatility given that cash flow is not great right now
— MA Capital (@MACapitalGrp) July 20, 2022
What about Tesla's business health? Tesla and Elon Musk both seem to be having a not-so-great financial period.
Elon Musk himself sold billions of dollars worth of shares at the company to pay for the now-messy Twitter deal. He finds himself fighting a lawsuit now. Elon Musk also announced mass layoffs because of a "super bad feeling" about the economy and now the layoffs seem to have affected the autopilot team at the company. And Tesla also lost its AI head earlier this month.
On the brighter side, Tesla's collaboration with Uber and Hertz to rent out EVs to drivers seems to be working well.
What about Elon Musk's promises? If there are some things that have not aged well over the short period of a year, they are Elon Musk's promises on Twitter.
Tesla has 💎 🙌
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) May 19, 2021
Shortly after this tweet Tesla sold 75% of their Bitcoin, and didn't report it until today. https://t.co/vMsm7Q6k1c
— That Guy (@ThatGuy3002) July 20, 2022
Tesla is using only internal & open source software & operates Bitcoin nodes directly.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) March 24, 2021
Bitcoin paid to Tesla will be retained as Bitcoin, not converted to fiat currency.
Tesla & Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/YSswJmVZhP
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) May 12, 2021
*cough, cough*
Bring on the salt: The world and Elon Musk's followers have learned a lot this year. One thing is to never take Elon Musk on his word and even his words that can move markets are not set in stone; not even his promises. Now that Elon Musk says the Tesla Bitcoin sell-off shouldn't be taken as an opinion on cryptocurrency and is only a business decision, perhaps that should also be taken with a truckload of salt.